ScoutIndex

2025 · Week 5

New England Patriots at Buffalo Bills

Oct 5, 2025 · Ralph Wilson Stadium · outdoors · a_turf

NENE

23

Final
BUFBUF

20

Pregame win probability

NE 17%proj. BUF by 11.283% BUF

Recap

New England Patriots held off Buffalo Bills 23–20. It was an upset by ScoutIndex's numbers — Patriots had just a 17% chance going in. Patriots improve to 3-2; Bills fall to 4-1. Drake Maye paced the offense with 273 passing yards; 12 rushing yards. Bills turned it over 3 times to Patriots's 1.

Team stats

NEBUF
18First downs21
344Total yards371
273Passing yards253
71Rushing yards118
22/30Comp / Att22/31
1Turnovers3
4Sacks taken1

Scoring & key plays

  1. Q1(:59) 36-A.Borregales 30 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
  2. Q2(9:37) 15-M.Prater 31 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
  3. Q2(:01) 36-A.Borregales 19 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
  4. Q3(9:24) (Shotgun) 17-J.Allen pass short left to 1-C.Samuel for 6 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  5. Q315-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
  6. Q3(6:38) 38-R.Stevenson left guard for 4 yards, TOUCHDOWN. Penalty on BUF-97-J.Bosa, Defensive Offside, declined.
  7. Q336-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
  8. Q4(12:14) 38-R.Stevenson left end for 7 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  9. Q436-A.Borregales extra point is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.
  10. Q4(7:40) 17-J.Allen pass short right to 0-K.Coleman for 2 yards, TOUCHDOWN.
  11. Q415-M.Prater extra point is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
  12. Q4(2:21) 15-M.Prater 45 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-69-R.Ferguson, Holder-19-M.Wishnowsky.
  13. Q4(:20) 36-A.Borregales 52 yard field goal is GOOD, Center-47-J.Ashby, Holder-17-B.Baringer.

Box score

NE

Passing

PlayerC/AYdsTDINT
Drake Maye22/3027300

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsTD
Drake Maye3120
TreVeyon Henderson6240
Antonio Gibson6210
Rhamondre Stevenson7142

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Stefon Diggs10121460
Hunter Henry24460
Kayshon Boutte33430
TreVeyon Henderson2330
Antonio Gibson1150
DeMario Douglas23170
Rhamondre Stevenson22130

BUF

Passing

PlayerC/AYdsTDINT
Josh Allen22/3125321

Rushing

PlayerCarYdsTD
Josh Allen9530
James Cook15490
Khalil Shakir150
Ty Johnson2100
Ray Davis210

Receiving

PlayerRecTgtYdsTD
Dalton Kincaid661080
James Cook0100
Khalil Shakir69450
Josh Palmer22360
Curtis Samuel22261
Keon Coleman47231
Dawson Knox22150
Tyrell Shavers0100

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