ScoutIndex

HOU HOU

Davis Mills

QB

A 3rd-round pick (67th overall) in the 2021 NFL Draft out of Stanford, Davis Mills has built an NFL career since. He's currently with HOU, in his 6th season in the league. His 29.0 ScoutIndex Rating last season was below the QB average, in the 8th percentile. His ball security stands out most — the 98th percentile at the position. Across 5 NFL seasons, he has totaled 7,082 passing yards and 40 touchdowns.

Size

6'4", 225#

College

Stanford

Draft

Rd 3, 67th overall (2021)

Seasons

2021–2026

2025 ScoutIndex Rating · QB

Methodology
41.5

24th percentile among QBs

6 games · 167 dropbacks

Volume×0.1-0.30
Total EPA×0.24-0.59
Conversion×0.08-0.45
Dropback EPA×0.34-0.66
Accuracy (CPOE)×0.12-1.70
Ball security×0.12+1.43

Week 1 projection · vs BUF

Methodology
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+

Mean (10th–90th percentile) · recent form × matchup. Informational, not wagering advice.

2025 attribute card

click a row to see the formula
AthleticismPassingDecisions & Impact

group averages

Athleticism

Speed36▶

Percentile of 40-yard dash time among QBs at the NFL Combine (faster = higher), 2000–present.

Burst40▶

Percentile of vertical jump + broad jump among combine QBs.

Agility54▶

Percentile of 3-cone + short shuttle among combine QBs (faster = higher).

Size81▶

Height/weight z-score vs. the QB cohort (from official bio, not combine-dependent).

Passing

Arm Strength85▶

Average depth of target on all attempts (air yards ÷ attempts) — a proxy for arm strength; true velocity needs radar-tracked data.

Accuracy5▶

Completion % over expected (CPOE), attempt-weighted across the season.

Ball Security98▶

Interceptions ÷ dropback (fewer is better).

Decisions & Mobility

Sack Avoidance77▶

Sacks ÷ dropback (fewer is better) — pocket movement and quick decisions, as far as box-score data can show it.

Mobility49▶

Rushing EPA plus rushing yardage per game, from scrambles and designed runs.

Impact

Efficiency22▶

(Passing EPA + rushing EPA) ÷ dropback — the Rating's largest component.

Volume49▶

Total dropbacks (attempts + sacks) this season.

Conversion31▶

(Passing first downs + ½ passing TD) ÷ dropback.

Career (regular season)

SeasonTmSIGPass ydsPass TDRush ydsRush TDRecRec ydsRec TD
2025HOU41.569155601
2024HOU44.2421211
2023HOU46.5517329
2022HOU29153118171082
2021HOU35.61326641644

Career profile

Davis Mills has appeared in 43 regular-season games across 5 NFL seasons on file, all with HOU.

As a passer he has thrown for 7,082 yards and 40 touchdowns with 26 interceptions. He has rushed for 232 yards and 3 touchdowns. His most productive passing season was 2022 with HOU: 3,118 yards and 17 touchdowns in 15 games.

By the ScoutIndex Rating, his best qualified season was 2021: a 35.6, in the 15th percentile among QBs that year.

Career highs (regular season)

2025 splits

regular season
SplitGPass ydsPass TDINTRush ydsRush TD
Home4
618
155/g
4
1
43
11/g
1
Away2
297
149/g
1
0
17
9/g
0
In division3
602
201/g
3
1
46
15/g
1
Out of division3
313
104/g
2
0
14
5/g
0
In wins5
778
156/g
5
1
53
11/g
1
In losses1
137
137/g
0
0
7
7/g
0
On grass2
297
149/g
1
0
17
9/g
0
On turf4
618
155/g
4
1
43
11/g
1
Indoors4
618
155/g
4
1
43
11/g
1
Outdoors2
297
149/g
1
0
17
9/g
0

2025 game log

WkOppLineScore
Week 5BAL23 pass yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · 3 rush yds, 0 TD40.6
Week 9DEN137 pass yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · 7 rush yds, 0 TD30.5
Week 10JAX292 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT · 20 rush yds, 1 TD56.1
Week 11TEN274 pass yds, 1 TD, 0 INT · 14 rush yds, 0 TD55.8
Week 12BUF153 pass yds, 2 TD, 0 INT · 4 rush yds, 0 TD43.3
Week 18IND36 pass yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · 12 rush yds, 0 TD39.5

Davis Mills — common questions

What position does Davis Mills play?
Davis Mills is listed as a QB.
Which teams has Davis Mills played for?
In the seasons on file (1999 onward), Davis Mills has played for HOU (2021–2025).
Where did Davis Mills go to college?
Davis Mills played college football at Stanford.
When was Davis Mills drafted?
Davis Mills was selected in round 3, 67th overall, of the 2021 NFL Draft.
How many touchdowns has Davis Mills scored?
Davis Mills has 43 touchdowns in the regular-season games on file (40 passing, 3 rushing).
What is Davis Mills's ScoutIndex Rating?
Davis Mills rated 41.5 for 2025, the 24th percentile among QBs (provisional or limited sample). Ratings run 0–99; about 60 is a league-average qualified starter.

Related players

Top teammates, last season on file

Drafted in round 3, 2021

Also from Stanford