ScoutIndex

HOU HOU

Davis Mills

QB

A 3rd-round pick (67th overall) in the 2021 NFL Draft out of Stanford, Davis Mills has built an NFL career since. He's currently with HOU, in his 6th season in the league. His 29.0 ScoutIndex Rating last season was below the QB average, in the 8th percentile. His size stands out most — the 80th percentile at the position. Across 5 NFL seasons, he has totaled 7,082 passing yards and 40 touchdowns.

Size

6'4", 225#

College

Stanford

Draft

Rd 3, 67th overall (2021)

Seasons

2021–2026

2023 ScoutIndex Rating · QB

Methodology
46.5

42th percentile among QBs · limited sample

5 games · 41 dropbacks

Volume×0.1-0.91
Total EPA×0.24-0.07
Conversion×0.08+0.08
Dropback EPA×0.34-0.04
Accuracy (CPOE)×0.12-1.56
Ball security×0.12+0.93

Week 1 projection · vs BUF

Methodology
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+

Mean (10th–90th percentile) · recent form × matchup. Informational, not wagering advice.

2023 attribute card

click a row to see the formula
AthleticismPassingDecisions & Impact

group averages

Athleticism

Speed36▶

Percentile of 40-yard dash time among QBs at the NFL Combine (faster = higher), 2000–present.

Burst46▶

Percentile of vertical jump + broad jump among combine QBs.

Agility55▶

Percentile of 3-cone + short shuttle among combine QBs (faster = higher).

Size80▶

Height/weight z-score vs. the QB cohort (from official bio, not combine-dependent).

Passing

Arm Strength58▶

Average depth of target on all attempts (air yards ÷ attempts) — a proxy for arm strength; true velocity needs radar-tracked data.

Accuracy6▶

Completion % over expected (CPOE), attempt-weighted across the season.

Ball Security78▶

Interceptions ÷ dropback (fewer is better).

Decisions & Mobility

Sack Avoidance64▶

Sacks ÷ dropback (fewer is better) — pocket movement and quick decisions, as far as box-score data can show it.

Mobility54▶

Rushing EPA plus rushing yardage per game, from scrambles and designed runs.

Impact

Efficiency47▶

(Passing EPA + rushing EPA) ÷ dropback — the Rating's largest component.

Volume27▶

Total dropbacks (attempts + sacks) this season.

Conversion56▶

(Passing first downs + ½ passing TD) ÷ dropback.

Career (regular season)

SeasonTmSIGPass ydsPass TDRush ydsRush TDRecRec ydsRec TD
2025HOU41.569155601
2024HOU44.2421211
2023HOU46.5517329
2022HOU29153118171082
2021HOU35.61326641644

Career profile

Davis Mills has appeared in 43 regular-season games across 5 NFL seasons on file, all with HOU.

As a passer he has thrown for 7,082 yards and 40 touchdowns with 26 interceptions. He has rushed for 232 yards and 3 touchdowns. His most productive passing season was 2022 with HOU: 3,118 yards and 17 touchdowns in 15 games.

By the ScoutIndex Rating, his best qualified season was 2021: a 35.6, in the 15th percentile among QBs that year.

Career highs (regular season)

2023 splits

regular season
SplitGPass ydsPass TDINT
Home3
169
56/g
2
0
Away2
4
2/g
0
0
In division1
0
0/g
0
0
Out of division4
173
43/g
2
0
In wins3
20
7/g
0
0
In losses2
153
77/g
2
0
On grass1
0
0/g
0
0
On turf4
173
43/g
2
0
Indoors3
169
56/g
2
0
Outdoors2
4
2/g
0
0

2023 game log

WkOppLineScore
PostseasonCLE6 pass yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · -4 rush yds, 0 TD—
Week 11ARI2 pass yds, 0 TD, 0 INT44.3
Week 13DEN18 pass yds, 0 TD, 0 INT48
Week 14NYJ4 pass yds, 0 TD, 0 INT32.9
Week 15TEN—45.9
Week 16CLE149 pass yds, 2 TD, 0 INT · 9 rush yds, 0 TD50.7

Davis Mills — common questions

What position does Davis Mills play?
Davis Mills is listed as a QB.
Which teams has Davis Mills played for?
In the seasons on file (1999 onward), Davis Mills has played for HOU (2021–2025).
Where did Davis Mills go to college?
Davis Mills played college football at Stanford.
When was Davis Mills drafted?
Davis Mills was selected in round 3, 67th overall, of the 2021 NFL Draft.
How many touchdowns has Davis Mills scored?
Davis Mills has 43 touchdowns in the regular-season games on file (40 passing, 3 rushing).
What is Davis Mills's ScoutIndex Rating?
Davis Mills rated 41.5 for 2025, the 24th percentile among QBs (provisional or limited sample). Ratings run 0–99; about 60 is a league-average qualified starter.

Related players

Top teammates, last season on file

Drafted in round 3, 2021

Also from Stanford