ScoutIndex

HOU HOU

Davis Mills

QB

A 3rd-round pick (67th overall) in the 2021 NFL Draft out of Stanford, Davis Mills has built an NFL career since. He's currently with HOU, in his 6th season in the league. His 29.0 ScoutIndex Rating last season was below the QB average, in the 8th percentile. Across 5 NFL seasons, he has totaled 7,082 passing yards and 40 touchdowns.

Size

6'4", 225#

College

Stanford

Draft

Rd 3, 67th overall (2021)

Seasons

2021–2026

2021 ScoutIndex Rating · QB

Methodology
35.6

15th percentile among QBs

13 games · 425 dropbacks

Volume×0.1+0.73
Total EPA×0.24-1.26
Conversion×0.08-1.33
Dropback EPA×0.34-1.34
Accuracy (CPOE)×0.12+0.04
Ball security×0.12-0.13

Week 1 projection · vs BUF

Methodology
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass yds146.8 (67.8–225.8)48% 150.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
Pass TD0.8 (0–2)57% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
INT0.4 (0–1)35% 0.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+
Rush yds34.4 (10.1–58.6)48% 35.5+

Mean (10th–90th percentile) · recent form × matchup. Informational, not wagering advice.

2021 attribute card

click a row to see the formula
AthleticismPassingDecisions & Impact

group averages

Athleticism

Speed47▶

Percentile of 40-yard dash time among QBs at the NFL Combine (faster = higher), 2000–present.

Burst55▶

Percentile of vertical jump + broad jump among combine QBs.

Agility58▶

Percentile of 3-cone + short shuttle among combine QBs (faster = higher).

Size75▶

Height/weight z-score vs. the QB cohort (from official bio, not combine-dependent).

Passing

Arm Strength21▶

Average depth of target on all attempts (air yards ÷ attempts) — a proxy for arm strength; true velocity needs radar-tracked data.

Accuracy46▶

Completion % over expected (CPOE), attempt-weighted across the season.

Ball Security35▶

Interceptions ÷ dropback (fewer is better).

Decisions & Mobility

Sack Avoidance19▶

Sacks ÷ dropback (fewer is better) — pocket movement and quick decisions, as far as box-score data can show it.

Mobility23▶

Rushing EPA plus rushing yardage per game, from scrambles and designed runs.

Impact

Efficiency10▶

(Passing EPA + rushing EPA) ÷ dropback — the Rating's largest component.

Volume68▶

Total dropbacks (attempts + sacks) this season.

Conversion11▶

(Passing first downs + ½ passing TD) ÷ dropback.

Career (regular season)

SeasonTmSIGPass ydsPass TDRush ydsRush TDRecRec ydsRec TD
2025HOU41.569155601
2024HOU44.2421211
2023HOU46.5517329
2022HOU29153118171082
2021HOU35.61326641644

Career profile

Davis Mills has appeared in 43 regular-season games across 5 NFL seasons on file, all with HOU.

As a passer he has thrown for 7,082 yards and 40 touchdowns with 26 interceptions. He has rushed for 232 yards and 3 touchdowns. His most productive passing season was 2022 with HOU: 3,118 yards and 17 touchdowns in 15 games.

By the ScoutIndex Rating, his best qualified season was 2021: a 35.6, in the 15th percentile among QBs that year.

Career highs (regular season)

2021 splits

regular season
SplitGPass ydsPass TDINT
Home7
1,725
246/g
12
1
Away6
939
157/g
4
9
In division4
802
201/g
5
3
Out of division9
1,862
207/g
11
7
In wins2
463
232/g
4
1
In losses11
2,201
200/g
12
9
On grass4
609
152/g
4
3
On turf9
2,055
228/g
12
7
Indoors7
1,529
218/g
11
1
Outdoors6
1,135
189/g
5
9

2021 game log

WkOppLineScore
Week 2CLE102 pass yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · -1 rush yds, 0 TD39.4
Week 3CAR168 pass yds, 1 TD, 0 INT40.4
Week 4BUF87 pass yds, 0 TD, 4 INT · 2 rush yds, 0 TD4.7
Week 5NE312 pass yds, 3 TD, 0 INT · 2 rush yds, 0 TD67.6
Week 6IND243 pass yds, 0 TD, 2 INT · 5 rush yds, 0 TD32.6
Week 7ARI135 pass yds, 0 TD, 0 INT29.8
Week 8LAR310 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT43.4
Week 13IND49 pass yds, 0 TD, 0 INT · 11 rush yds, 0 TD26.9
Week 14SEA331 pass yds, 1 TD, 0 INT · 8 rush yds, 0 TD49
Week 15JAX209 pass yds, 2 TD, 1 INT · 2 rush yds, 0 TD56
Week 16LAC254 pass yds, 2 TD, 0 INT · -1 rush yds, 0 TD67.5
Week 17SF163 pass yds, 1 TD, 1 INT · 4 rush yds, 0 TD33.2
Week 18TEN301 pass yds, 3 TD, 0 INT · 12 rush yds, 0 TD65.7

Davis Mills — common questions

What position does Davis Mills play?
Davis Mills is listed as a QB.
Which teams has Davis Mills played for?
In the seasons on file (1999 onward), Davis Mills has played for HOU (2021–2025).
Where did Davis Mills go to college?
Davis Mills played college football at Stanford.
When was Davis Mills drafted?
Davis Mills was selected in round 3, 67th overall, of the 2021 NFL Draft.
How many touchdowns has Davis Mills scored?
Davis Mills has 43 touchdowns in the regular-season games on file (40 passing, 3 rushing).
What is Davis Mills's ScoutIndex Rating?
Davis Mills rated 41.5 for 2025, the 24th percentile among QBs (provisional or limited sample). Ratings run 0–99; about 60 is a league-average qualified starter.

Related players

Top teammates, last season on file

Drafted in round 3, 2021

Also from Stanford